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Brazil – Belgium: Quarter-Final Predictions, Odds and Best Bets

July 4, 2018 15 min to read
6
JULY
BRAZIL VS BELGIUM
20:00 BRAZIL-BELGIUM
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Best bet: Brazil to win 1-0

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Best bet: Brazil to win 2-1

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Best bet: Draw 1-1

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Best bet: Draw 2-2

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Best bet: Belgium to win 2-1

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All you need to know about the quarterfinal between Brazil and Belgium.

How the teams arrive, the precedents and the statistics.

Following a number of surprises of the past few days, Monday 4 July was a normal day for Russia's 2018 World Cup.

Day opened by Brazil, which after a well fought first half, managed to overcome Mexico only late in the second half , closing with a 2-0 win, and booking a pass to the quarterfinals.

Quarterfinals also reached, not without difficulty, even by Belgium: after having fallen behind two goals, they had reacted and managed to comeback in the last seconds of injury time, eliminating Japan.

The third quarterfinal, after France-Uruguay and Russia-Croatia, will be between Brazil and Belgium.

The match between Brazil and Belgium will take place this Friday, July 6th at 8:00 pm (CET)

The last precedent between these two nations dates back to June 17, 2002, where Brazil won 2-0.

Both Brazil and Belgium advance to the quarterfinal stage with an unbeaten record, three wins and a draw for the Selecao against four wins for the Red Devils.

The Europeans can boast a super attack, scoring 12 goals in four games, with the South Americans having instead a better defence, with only one goal against so far.

Team Forms and Recent Results

Since the beginning of the tournament, the South Americans were one of the favourites and, now after many of the contenders have been eliminated; the Seleçao became the team to beat.

After an unconvincing opening game where they drew 1-1 against Switzerland, they have managed to as return back on track and two consecutive victories against Costa Rica and Serbia, finishing on top of group E.

Thanks to the 2-0 defeat to Mexico, Brazil has then gained access to the quarters, where they will have to face another tough opponent in Belgium.

Belgium, like Brazil, are also one of the main candidates to bring home the much sought-after World Cup.

After their debut with high scoring performance against Panama, they had another convincing performance against Tunisia.

Then they managed to win 1-0 against England on the final day of the group stages, that allowed the Belgium to finished first in group G.

A little bit surprisingly, in the quarterfinals the Red Devils have struggled against Japan, risking a premature elimination: however a great reaction has allowed Belgium to overturn the 2-0 deficit and eliminate the Japanese to advance to the quarterfinals.

Probable formations

Coach Tite will have to change some players due to injuries and suspensions, but he will still play with the usual 4-2-3-1 formation.

Alisson is a guaranteed to start in goal, protected by a defensive unit composed of Fagner, Thiago Silva, Miranda and Marcelo.

In midfield, Fernandinho replacing the suspended Casemiro, will play alongside Paulinho.

The Forward line will be composed of the the same four, with Willian-Coutinho and Neymar in support of Gabriel Jesus.T

Coach Martinez should start with the same eleven fielded against Japan and with the same 3-4-3 formation.

Courtois between the posts, behind the defence composed of Alderweireld-Kompany and Vertonghen.

Witsel and De Bruyne central midfielders, assisting by Meunier and Carrasco on the sides.

Forwards line up composed of the trio Hazard-Lukaku and Mertens.

Brazil (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Fagner, Thiago Silva, Miranda, Marcelo; Fernandinho, Paulinho; Willian, Coutinho, Neymar; Gabriel Jesus. Coach. Tite
Belgium (3-4-3): Courtois; Alderweireld, Kompany, Vertonghen; Meunier, Witsel, De Bruyne, Carrasco; Mertens, R. Lukaku, E. Hazard. Coach . Martinez

Brazil vs Belgium players to watch

Paris Saint-Germain forward Neymar has had the most shots (23), shots on target (12) and created the most chances (16) of any player so far at the World Cup.

Coming right off the back of a four-month injury the forward has also completed the most dribbles (35) and been the most fouled player (23 fouls) at the tournament.

Neymar has been involved in 20 goals in his last 19 games in all competitions for Brazil.

He registered 11 goals and assisting a further nine. He is 10/1 to score the first and last goal against Belgium.

Belgium’s Eden Hazard has a similar record under Roberto Martinez – scoring 10 and assisting nine in his past 18 games.

Our predictions

Our Brazil vs Belgium algorithm prediction have Brazil as close favourites with a 36% probability against Belgium’s 30%.

Odds have the Samba Boys as 2.20 favourites to qualify for the semi-finals whilst Roberto Martinez’s men are at 3.65 to advance for a last four berth. A draw is quoted at odds of 3.40.

Brazil’s odds of reaching the final were shortened after their victory over Mexico and they are now favourites to do so.

The most probable score prediction is a 2-1 win for Brazil at 15% and a 1-1 draw at 14%.

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Remi

Remi is a full-time barber but when he clocks out his other passion is Formula 1 racing, which he enjoys seasonally along with other high adrenaline sports.

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