She destroyed each of her opponents without leaving them any chances. Pavlyuchenkova is ready to meet Belinda Bencic, her Swedish rival with the 9th seed number. This quarter-final pair was predictable.
The Pavlyuchenkova vs Bencic match will commence on Wednesday, 28 July 2021, at 03:30 a.m. GMT at Ariake Tennis Park, Tokyo. You will find Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Belinda Bencic (July 28) betting tips and prediction below, as well as the latest betting odds.
Pavlyuchenkova vs Bencic (July 28) latest odds on betting sites
Tennis player from the Russian Olympic Committee team, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is the sure front runner of this match. Her win in the quarter-finals is priced with the odds of 1.64 (-156 American; 16/25 Fractional), which equals an approximate probability of 61%.
Belinda Bencic, despite her higher seed, was named an underdog. Her triumph comes with the odds of 2.40 (+140; 7/5). Chances are around 39%.
Over/Under games total:
- Over 21.5 games — 1.94 (-106; 47/50)
- Under 21.5 games — 1.92 (-109; 23/25)
Over/Under sets total:
- Over 2.5 sets — 2.40 (+140; 7/5)
- Under 2.5 sets — 1.56 (-179; 14/25)
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (-2.5) — 1.90 (-111; 9/10)
- Belinda Bencic (+2.5) — 1.96 (-104; 24/25)
Pavlyuchenkova vs Bencic (July 28) match preview and stats
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova had no proper opponents in the previous stages of the Tokyo 2021 Olympics. All of her rivals were not above the 47th place in the WTA Rankings. However, her recent results are incredible anyway.
Pavlyuchenkova beat Sara Errani (6-0, 6-1) in the Round of 64 and Friedsam Anna-Lena (6-1, 6-1) in the second stage. In the Round of 16 she won over Sara Sorribes Tormo (6-1, 6-3). At the Olympics she boasts top stats, though her full-season results are worse. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova won 85% of games: 67% games on her serves and approximately 60% games on her rivals’ serves at the 2021 Olympics. Whole season stats of the Russian are as follows: games won — 52.8%, service games won — 65.3%, return games won — 40.3%. The big difference may be due to weaker rivals at the Olympics
Pavlyuchenkova met Belinda Bencic 3 times in the last 3 years, 7 times total. Head-to-heads are 2-5 in the favour of Bencic, but Anastasia is in her best form now. She has won 3 of her last 4 fixtures with a 2-0 score. Now this outcome comes with the odds of 2.50 (+150; 3/2).
Rivals of Belinda Bencic were stronger than those of Anastasia. Bencic won over Jessica Pegula (6-3, 6-3) in the first round. Then she beat Misaki Doi (6-2, 6-4) and Barbora Kreichikova (1-6, 6-2, 6-3) to qualify for the quarter-finals.
Her stats at the 2021 Olympics are not so different from the full season. Belinda Bencic is one of the best tennis players judging by successful service games ratio (67.5%) this season, whereas her return games ratio is low — 27.1%. She is a stable top player and may pull off a surprise here.
Belinda Bencic rarely puts up narrow wins or loses games: often the total number of games in her matches is low. A total under 21.5 games played out in 5 of her last 6 games. This outcome in the match vs Pavlyuchenkova is priced with the odds of 1.92 (-109, 23/25).
Pavlyuchenkova vs Bencic (July 28) betting tips and prediction
Of course, Anastasia is a favourite on the betting sites, but she has destroyed only weak opponents up until now. Whereas Belinda met much stronger rivals and won over them with ease. Also, Swiss athlete won in 5 out of 7 head-to-head fixtures against Anastasia.
Betting prediction: Belinda Bencic to win
Odds: 2.30 (+130 American; 13/10 Fractional)
Moreover, Belinda has had a total under 21.5 games in 5 of her last 6 games. Anastasia saw the same outcome in all of her last 7 matches.
Betting prediction: Over 21.5 games
Odds: 1.92 (-109 American; 23/25 Fractional)