Daniil Medvedev is waiting for his next opponent, Pablo Carreno-Busta. Last match of the Russian was more tiresome and played in 3 sets, while the Spaniard was done in 2.
The Carreno-Busta - Medvedev fixture will take place on Thursday, 29 July 2021, and will start at 07:30 a.m. GMT at the Ariake Tennis Park, Tokyo, Japan. Check Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Daniil Medvedev (July 29) prediction and betting tips.
Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev (July 29) latest odds on betting sites
Russian Daniil Medvedev is the favourite of this quarter-final by online bookmakers’ opinion. The second best player in the world is priced with the odds of 1.30 (-333 American; 3/10 Fractional) to qualify for the semis. His chances are around 77%.
Spaniard Pablo Carreno-Busta comes with the odds of 3.70 (+270; 27/10) to beat Medvedev in this match, which equals an approximate probability of 23%.
Over/Under games total:
- Over 21.5 games — 1.80 (+110; 11/10)
- Under 21.5 games — 2.00 (+100; evens)
Over/Under sets total:
- Over 2.5 sets — 3.00 (+200; 2/1)
- Under 2.5 sets — 1.40 (-250; 2/5)
- Daniil Medvedev (-3.5) — 1.70 (-143; 7/10)
- Pablo Carreno-Busta (+3.5) — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev (July 29) match preview and stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta had been unbeaten in 4 consecutive matches before the 2021 Olympics and extended his streak to 7 victories in a row by now. Pablo won over Tennys Sandgren (7-5, 6-2) and Marin Cilic (5-7, 6-4, 6-4). After this close fixture, he beat Dominic Kepfner (7-6, 6-3) to qualify for the quarter-finals
Stats of Carreno-Busta at the Olympics 2021 are a little bit worse than in the whole season. He has shown a mid-level performance in the return serves winning 25% of them, but he converts a high number of breakpoints (87), which is 45% of the total number. Games on his service are Pablo’s cup of tea: he finishes 82% of them successfully. His best tournament results in the 2020-21 season are as follows: ATP Marbella (1st place), ATP Barcelona Open (semis), ATP Mallorca (semis) and ATP Gamburg (1st place).
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 6 of his last 7 matches to nil. This outcome in the next match comes with the odds of 6.20 (+520; 26/5).
Daniil Medvedev has already met stronger opponents than Carreno-Busta. He beat Aleksandr Bublik (6-4, 7-6), Sumit Nagal (6-2, 6-1) and Fabio Fognini (6-2, 3-6, 6-2) at the Olympics. These results against such rivals look confident enough.
Russian’s stats are much better than those of his current rival. Daniil Medvedev successfully finished 86% of service games and won 30% return games this season. Also, he won 78% of his 1st serve points but has problems with saving breakpoints. Medvedev saved 60% of them, which is a middling result for a top-level player. The most successful tournaments of the 2020-21 season for Daniil are ATP Mallorca (1st place), French Open (quarters), ATP Miami (quarters) and ATP Marcell (1st place).
Daniil has won first sets with a score difference of 2 or more in the last 4 matches. This outcome against Pablo Carreno-Busta is priced with the odds of 1.60 (-167; 3/5).
Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev (July 29) betting tips and prediction
These rivals met 4 times in head-to-head matches, with 3 of those finishing in favour of Daniil Medvedev. But Pablo Carreno-Busta is in his best condition now, with a win streak of 7 matches. Both athletes have good stats and results in their previous fixture. I believe that Russian tennis player will win, but we will see a total of over 22.5 games.
Betting prediction: Daniil Medvedev to win
Odds: 1.30 (-333 American; 3/10 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Over 22.5 games
Odds: 2.10 (+110 American; 11/10 Fractional)