Olympic tennis 2021: Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev prediction and betting tips (July 29)
Russian tennis player is motivated to meet his arch rival, Novak Djokovic, in the final match, and will do everything to qualify for the next stage.
Daniil Medvedev (Russia) will waltz past his 1/4 rival
Daniil Medvedev (Russia) will waltz past his 1/4 rival

Daniil Medvedev is waiting for his next opponent, Pablo Carreno-Busta. Last match of the Russian was more tiresome and played in 3 sets, while the Spaniard was done in 2.

The Carreno-Busta - Medvedev fixture will take place on Thursday, 29 July 2021, and will start at 07:30 a.m. GMT at the Ariake Tennis Park, Tokyo, Japan. Check Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Daniil Medvedev (July 29) prediction and betting tips.

Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev (July 29) latest odds on betting sites

Russian Daniil Medvedev is the favourite of this quarter-final by online bookmakers’ opinion. The second best player in the world is priced with the odds of 1.30 (-333 American; 3/10 Fractional) to qualify for the semis. His chances are around 77%.

Spaniard Pablo Carreno-Busta comes with the odds of 3.70 (+270; 27/10) to beat Medvedev in this match, which equals an approximate probability of 23%.

Over/Under games total:

  • Over 21.5 games — 1.80 (+110; 11/10)
  • Under 21.5 games — 2.00 (+100; evens)

Over/Under sets total:

  • Over 2.5 sets — 3.00 (+200; 2/1)
  • Under 2.5 sets — 1.40 (-250; 2/5)

Asian handicap:

  • Daniil Medvedev (-3.5) — 1.70 (-143; 7/10)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta (+3.5) — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)

Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev (July 29) match preview and stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta had been unbeaten in 4 consecutive matches before the 2021 Olympics and extended his streak to 7 victories in a row by now. Pablo won over Tennys Sandgren (7-5, 6-2) and Marin Cilic (5-7, 6-4, 6-4). After this close fixture, he beat Dominic Kepfner (7-6, 6-3) to qualify for the quarter-finals

Stats of Carreno-Busta at the Olympics 2021 are a little bit worse than in the whole season. He has shown a mid-level performance in the return serves winning 25% of them, but he converts a high number of breakpoints (87), which is 45% of the total number. Games on his service are Pablo’s cup of tea: he finishes 82% of them successfully. His best tournament results in the 2020-21 season are as follows: ATP Marbella (1st place), ATP Barcelona Open (semis), ATP Mallorca (semis) and ATP Gamburg (1st place).

Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 6 of his last 7 matches to nil. This outcome in the next match comes with the odds of 6.20 (+520; 26/5).

Daniil Medvedev has already met stronger opponents than Carreno-Busta. He beat Aleksandr Bublik (6-4, 7-6), Sumit Nagal (6-2, 6-1) and Fabio Fognini (6-2, 3-6, 6-2) at the Olympics. These results against such rivals look confident enough.

Russian’s stats are much better than those of his current rival. Daniil Medvedev successfully finished 86% of service games and won 30% return games this season. Also, he won 78% of his 1st serve points but has problems with saving breakpoints. Medvedev saved 60% of them, which is a middling result for a top-level player. The most successful tournaments of the 2020-21 season for Daniil are ATP Mallorca (1st place), French Open (quarters), ATP Miami (quarters) and ATP Marcell (1st place).

Daniil has won first sets with a score difference of 2 or more in the last 4 matches. This outcome against Pablo Carreno-Busta is priced with the odds of 1.60 (-167; 3/5).

Carreno-Busta vs Medvedev (July 29) betting tips and prediction

These rivals met 4 times in head-to-head matches, with 3 of those finishing in favour of Daniil Medvedev. But Pablo Carreno-Busta is in his best condition now, with a win streak of 7 matches. Both athletes have good stats and results in their previous fixture. I believe that Russian tennis player will win, but we will see a total of over 22.5 games.

Betting prediction: Daniil Medvedev to win

Odds: 1.30 (-333 American; 3/10 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 22.5 games

Odds: 2.10 (+110 American; 11/10 Fractional)

Tennis Olympic tennis 2021 . Men. Singles. Quarter-finals
Pablo Carreño-Busta — Daniil Medvedev
Over 22.5 games total
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