Nishikori had a good start to his home tournament and will be inspired against his unbeaten opponent. The Djokovic vs Nishikori quarter-final fixture will take place on Thursday, 29 July 2021, and will start at 07:30 a.m. GMT at the Ariake Tennis Park, Tokyo, Japan. There are Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori (July 29) betting tips and predictions you are certain to find below.
Djokovic vs Nishikori (July 29) latest odds on betting sites
Expectedly, after 3 Grand Slams won this year, world’s no 1 Novak Djokovic is the odd-on favourite of this match. His triumph is priced with the odds of 1.10 (-1000 American; 1/10 Fractional), which equals an approximate probability of 91%.
Kei Nishikori is the underdog. His qualification for the semis comes with the odds of 10.50 (+950 American; 19/2 Fractional). His chances are around 9%.
Over/Under games total:
- Over 19.5 games — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
- Under 19.5 games — 1.85 (-118; 17/20)
Over/Under sets total:
- Over 2.5 sets — 4.20 (+320; 16/5)
- Under 2.5 sets — 1.20 (-500; 1/5)
- Novak Djokovic (-5.5) — 1.90 (-111; 9/10)
- Kei Nishikori (+5.5) — 2.00 (+100; evens)
Djokovic vs Nishikori (July 29) match preview and stats
Novak Djokovic shined in his section and won each fixture with scores of 2-0. His first rival was Ugo Delien (6-2, 6-2). Then he beat Jan-Lennard Struff (6-4, 6-3) and Alexandro Davidovic Fokina (6-3, 6-1) to qualify for the quarters. He was a favourite in all fixtures and the least chances were equal 95%.
These results were provided by his incredible handling of his services. He finished 87% of them successfully saving 67% of breakpoints. His win rate in the return games is not as high and equals 35%, but he wins 55% of 2nd return serves, which is the highest ratio in the ATP. Novak won all Grand Slam 2020-2021 tournaments and was in 4 finals in a row: ATP Rome Open (2nd place), ATP Belgrade (1st place), Roland Garros (1st place) and Wimbledon (1st place) .
Novak Djokovic has won 7 of his last 8 matches to nil. This outcome in the fixture against Kei Nishikori comes with the odds of 1.33 (-300; 1/3)
Kei Nishikori has had a perfect start at Olympics 2021. He beat Andrei Rublev (6-3, 6-4), who was seeded 5th. Then he had 2 easy fixtures against Marcos Hiron (7-6, 3-6, 6-1) and Ilia Ivashka (7-6, 6-0). Home event started for him too good, but he was unlucky to meet the best player in the quarter-final.
He improved his skills in the service games and finished approximately 82% of them successfully at the Olympics 2021, whereas full-season ratio is 73%. Return serves results got better too. There is a 40% win rate at the Olympics against 24% in total. Kai is well-motivated but it is unlikely to be enough. His best result in the 2020-2021 season is 1/8 finals of the Roland Garros.
Kei Nishikori lost in the last 17 matches against Novak. Besides, 4 last matches finished with 7 or more games difference in the final scores. This outcome in the next fixture goes with the odds of 2.60 (+160; 8/5).
Djokovic vs Nishikori (July 29) betting tips and prediction
Novak should win this match for sure. He has won over his next rival in the last 17 matches and has finished 10 of their last 13 head-to-head fixtures to nil. It is predictable to see a total of under 2.5 sets here as well, and based on this — a low games total, with better odds.
Betting prediction: Under 2.5 sets total
Odds: 1.20 (-500 American; 1/5 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Under 19.5 games total
Odds: 1.85 (-118 American; 17/20 Fractional)
Many international online bookmakers allow you to bet on Novac’s victory and under 19.5 total as a single combined outcome. I believe this is another value choice.
Betting prediction: Novak Djokovic to win & Under 19.5 games
Odds: 2.00 (+100 American; 1/1 Fractional)