Pablo Carreno-Busta will meet Russian Karen Khachanov on Friday, 30 July 2021. The Khachanov vs Carreno-Busta match will start at 06:00 a.m. GMT at the Ariake Tennis Park, Tokyo, Japan. You may find Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Karen Khachanov (July 30) predictions and betting tips below in this article.
Khachanov vs Carreno-Busta (July 30) latest odds on betting sites
Carreno-Busta was named the favourite of this match by the betting sites. This is due to his better individual results and higher ATP rating. Spanish tennis player to qualify for the final is priced with the odds of 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional).
Karen Khachanov to win in the semi-finals comes with the odds of 2.15 (+115; 23/20).
Winning chances of these athletes are as follows: Pablo Carreno-Busta — 56%, Karen Khachanov — 44%.
Over/Under games total:
- Over 22.5 games — 1.85 (-118; 17/20)
- Under 22.5 games — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
Over/Under sets total:
- Over 2.5 sets — 2.50 (+150; 3/2)
- Under 2.5 sets — 1.50 (-200; 1/2)
- Karen Khachanov (+1.5) — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)
- Pablo Carreno-Busta (-1.5) — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)
Khachanov vs Carreno-Busta (July 30) match preview and stats
Karen Khachanov had a difficult way to the semis. He has finished 3 of his last 4 matches with the score of 2-0. His rival was Yoshihito Nishioka (3-6, 6-1, 6-2). Afterwards the Russian has had a single easy game at the Olympics beating James Duckvort in 2 sets (7-5, 6-1). Then he passed Diego Shwartzman (6-1, 2-6, 6-1) and Ugo Wember (7-6, 4-6, 6-3)
Khachanov has significantly improved his stats at the Olympics 2021 compared to his results throughout the season. He has won 82% of his service games and 22% of return games this year. Both of these ratios increased by 8 percent. The only indicator that has worsened is the conversion of breakpoints. It decreased by 5 percent compared to the full season. He was not as successful in previous tournaments as at the 2021 Olympics. His best achievements are quarters at the Wimbledon 2021 and semis at the ATP Lyon 2021.
Karen Khachanov has finished 3 of his last 4 fixtures with a total of over 2.5 sets. This outcome in the semi-finals is priced with the odds of 2.50 (+150; 3/2).
Pablo Carreno-Busta beat his rivals at the Olympics 2021 mostly with ease. He won over Tennys Sandgren (7-5, 6-2), after which he had a single three-set match beating Marin Cilic (5-7, 6-4, 6-4). Then the Spanish tennis player won against Dominic Kepfner (7-6, 6-3) and Daniil Medvedev (6-2, 7-6), with the latter being the second best player in the world.
The only problem of Carreno-Busta at the Olympics 2021 is the saving of breakpoints. It decreased by 7 percent compared to the full season. This situation has helped Pablo’s opponents to win return games. Other stats are still good. Carreno-Busta improved his first serves and finished 78 percent of them successfully. This is 9 units more than his average ratio. The Spanish tennis player has had a better season than his next opponent. He won the ATP Gamburg 2021, ATP Marbella 2021 and finished ATP Barcelona 2021 in the semis.
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 7 of his last 8 matches with a 2-0 sets score. The Spaniard to qualify for the final in 2 sets comes with the odds of 2.60 (+160; 8/5).
Khachanov vs Carreno-Busta (July 30) betting tips and prediction
I believe that Carreno-Busta, after his triumph over Daniil Medvedev in the semis and his incredible streak of wins, will not stop in the match against the other Russian. In my opinion, we will see his another confident victory in a row with a total of under 2.5 sets and a total of over 22.5 games. Pablo won over stronger opponents, while Karen beat weaker ones.
Besides, Spanish tennis player has won in 4 of his last 6 H2H fixtures against Khachanov.
Betting prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta to win
Odds: 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Under 22.5 games
Odds: 2.10 (+110 American; 11/10 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Under 2.5 games
Odds: 1.50 (-200 American; 1/2 Fractional)