The Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev fixture in the 2021 US Open final will take place on Sunday, 12 September 2021, starting at 10:00 p.m. GMT. The venue is Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York. Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev (September 12) prediction and betting tips can be found below.
Djokovic vs Medvedev (September 12) latest odds on betting sites
Novak Djokovic, who is the best player in the world right now, is a sure favourite of this fixture. He is priced with the odds of 1.35 (-286 American; 7/20 Fractional). The chances of his outright triumph in the tournament are approximately equal to 74%.
Daniil Medvedev is priced with the odds of 3.70 (+270; 27/10) to win his first Grand Slam tournament, which equals an approximate probability of 26%.
The latest odds for Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev (September 12):
- Over 3.5 sets — 1.60 (-167; 3/5)
- Under 3.5 sets — 2.30 (+130; 13/10)
- Asian sets handicap (-1.5) sets on Novak Djokovic— 1.75 (-133; 3/4)
- Asian sets handicap (+1.5) sets on Daniil Medvedev — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
- Asian sets handicap (-4.5) games on Novak Djokovic— 1.95 (-105; 19/20)
- Asian sets handicap (+4.5) games on Daniil Medvedev — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
Djokovic vs Medvedev (September 12) match preview and stats
Novak Djokovic’s started this event by defeating Nodskov Rune (6-1, 6-7, 6-2, 6-1), Tallon Griekspoor (6-2, 6-3, 6-2), Kei Nishikori (6-7, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3), Jenson Brooksby (1-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2) and Matteo Berrettini (5-7, 6-2, 6-2, 6-3). He won over these rivals to qualify for the semi-final. In this stage, the Serb met Alexander Zverev (4-6, 6-2, 6-4, 4-6, 6-2).
The last opponent proved to be the most difficult for Djokovic. In the first set, Novak was out of chances to beat Zverev in return games, whereas Alexander easily beat him in the ninth game, which was Novak’s service. In the next two sets, Djokovic was stronger, but the fourth set was similar to the first. In the decisive set, Novak thrashed his rival 5-0, which cemented his victory.
Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev met each other once in 2021. This head-to-head fixture was in the Grand Slam final too — the final of the Australian Open. Djokovic won with a 3-0 score and played perfectly. He won 86% of service games and 68% of service points, but saved only 50% of breakpoints. In the return games, Novak played flawlessly. He won 50% of them and converted 64% of breakpoints. Also, he made only two double faults.
We have seen a total over 3.5 sets in five of the last six matches with Djokovic’s participation. This outcome is priced with the odds of 1.60 (-167; 3/5) in the next match.
Daniil Medvedev qualified for this stage easily. He won over Carlos Taberner (2-6, 3-6, 6-4, 7-5, 6-3), Casper Ruud (3-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4), Facundo Banis (3-6, 6-0, 6-2, 6-2), Diego Schwartzman (6-3, 6-4, 5-7, 5-7, 6-1) and Botic Van De Zandschulp (6-3, 6-0, 4-6, 7-5) to meet Felix Auger-Aliassime (6-4, 7-5, 6-2) in the semi final.
Daniil Medvedev dominated in the first set. He won 80% of service points and 60% of all points. In the second set, both players were approximately equal. But Medvedev won two last games in a row. The last set was the easiest for Medvedev. He won 64% of points and 75% of games.
Daniil Medvedev has played perfectly at the 2021 US Open. He has made only 14 double faults in six fixtures. Also, Daniil has won 54 out of 59 service games, which is much better than his average ratio. He has saved approximately 64% of breakpoints and has converted 60% of them. The Russian has won 24 out of 61 return games.
Daniil Medvedev has won the first sets in the last 12 fixtures. He comes with the odds of 2.50 (+150; 3/2) to win over Novak Djokovic in the first set.
Djokovic vs Medvedev (September 12) betting tips and prediction
Of course, Daniil Medvedev beat his rivals at the 2021 US Open easily and played confidently in this tournament. But he met much weaker rivals. His best opponent was Felix Auger-Aliassime, who is the 15th best player on the ATP ranking list.
Novak Djokovic has already met much stronger opponents than those of Medvedev: Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini. I believe Djokovic will win this fixture. But we all saw the incredible performance of Medvedev at the current US Open, which is the reason why he could win at least a set or even two. Besides, Daniil Medvedev is perfect in the first set.
I am looking to witness a total of over 9.5 games in the first set.
Betting prediction: Novak Djokovic to win & over 3.5 sets
Odds: 2.35 (+135 American; 27/20 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Over 9.5 games (1st set)
Odds: 1.60 (-167 American; 3/5 Fractional)