US Open 2021: Djokovic vs Nishikori prediction and betting tips (September 4)
Nishikori is well motivated to beat the Serbian after the previous fast head-to-head loss at the 2021 Olympics tennis tournament in Tokyo.
Novak Djokovic is odds-on to win 3-0
Novak Djokovic is odds-on to win 3-0

The Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori game will take place on Sunday, 4 September 2021, starting at 03:00 p.m. GMT. The venue is USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, USA. Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori (September 4) prediction and betting tips can be found below.

Djokovic vs Nishikori (September 4) latest odds on betting sites

Expectedly, Novak is the sure favourite of this game, according to online betting sites. Djokovic to qualify for the Round of 16 is priced with the odds of 1.025 (-4000 American; 1/40 Fractional), which equals an approximate probability of 97%.

Kei Nishikori to beat the Serb first time in the last seven years comes with the odds of 23.00 (+2200; 22/1). The chances of this outcome are 3%.

The latest odds for Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori (September 4) betting markets:

  • Over 3.5 sets — 2.90 (+190; 19/10)
  • Under 3.5 sets — 1.50 (-200; 1/2)
  • Over 28.5 games — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Under 28.5 games — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)
  • Asian handicap (-9.5) on Novak Djokovic — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)
  • Asian handicap (+9.5) on Kei Nishikori — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)

Djokovic vs Nishikori (September 4) match preview and stats

Novak Djokovic’s performance in his first two matches at the 2021 US Open was irreproachable. He beat Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune (6-1, 6-7, 6-2, 6-1). In spite of the close second set, the Serb did not have problems overall. After this, Djokovic won over Tallon Griekspoor (6-2, 6-3, 6-2).

In other events of the current season, Novak was almost flawless, apart from the Olympics, where he failed in a series of matches in singles and doubles and didn't get any medals. But again, Novak won the 2021 Wimbledon, the 2021 Roland Garros and the 2021 Australian Open, and now he looks to complete the Grand Slam by winning this year’s US Open.

The last H2H fixture between Novak and Kei was at the 2021 Olympics and was finished in favor of the Serb (6-2, 6-0). Needless to say, Djokovic’s stats were perfect. He saved 100% of breakpoints and converted 50% of them. Also, Novak did not lose any service games. His only problem was a number of double faults, which was equal to four.

Novak Djokovic has won first sets with an Asian handicap (-3.5) in four of the last five matches. This outcome against Nishikori is priced with the odds of 2.30 (+130; 13/10).

Kei Nishikori started this tournament with an easy victory against Salvatore Caruso (6-1, 6-1, 5-7, 6-3). After this, he played a close match against Mackenzie McDonald (7-6, 6-3, 6-7, 2-6, 6-3). Kei was lucky to come back in the first set from the 2-5 games score. The Japanese tennis player was not successful in other competitions of 2021. Semis at the ATP Washington and 1/8 finals at the ATP Barcelona and the French Open were his best results.

Nishikori had an awful head-to-head match against Djokovic this year, but his stats in 2021 are not bad overall. He has won 75% of service games and has saved 59% of breakpoints by far in 2021. The Japanese player has not been as good in the return serves. He has won only 24% of return games and has converted 39% of breakpoints.

Kei Nishikori has won first sets in seven of the last 10 matches. This outcome in the next fixture comes with the odds of 5.00 (+400; 4/1).

Djokovic vs Nishikori (September 4) betting tips and prediction

The Japanese tennis player has not won more than three games in the first sets in the last five H2H matches against Novak Djokovic. Also, he has taken two or fewer games in the first set in three out of these five fixtures, whereas Novak Djokovic has lost three or fewer games in the first set in four out of his last six fixtures.

The Serb has won with an overall total under 3.5 sets in six of the last eight best-of-five matches. Also, he has won the last three H2H matches against Nishikori to nil.

Based on these facts, a total under 28.5 games seems obvious as well as a victory for Novak Djokovich and a total of under 3.5 games won by Kei Nishikori in the first set.

Betting prediction: Under 3.5 games (1st set - Kei Nishikori)

Odds: 1.65 (-154 American; 13/20 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Novak Djokovic to win (3-0)

Odds: 1.55 (-182 American; 11/20 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 28.5 games

Odds: 1.95 (-105 American; 19/20 Fractional)

Tennis US Open 2021 . Men. Singles. Round 3
Novak Djokovic — Kei Nishikori
Over 28.5 games
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